Manchester City 4-2 Tottenham – Betting Review

 

Match Summary 

In a game ridden with individual mistakes and where the home side only showed their true colour in the second half, Spurs were on the end of a 4-2 defeat in Manchester.

Tottenham sent out a strong side which included Bentancur back from a spell out. No fans could have had any issues with the starting side and to be fair, the team defended admirably and used the ball well.

The visitor would never have believed they could lead 0-2 but the truth is, although they held a flat Man City at bay, the goals were defensive gifts from City.

Thanks however to a strong second half showing, Manchester City closed the gap on league leaders Arsenal to five points after recovering from two goals down to win 4-2.

As concerning for suffering Spurs is that that the team have now lost all five games against sides above them in the Premier League table.

City started the better of the two teams but rarely maintained their rhythm and often lacked intensity with the ball.

Spurs offered very little going forward. Son had a header from long-range on one rare attack from the away team, but it fell into the keepers’ arms.

The first half came to a wild conclusion with Spurs netting twice in the space of three-half minutes. The opener was a gift for Kulusevski after Ederson gifted possession away.

The lead was doubled when Ederson could only parry Harry Kane’s header into the path of Emerson. The Brazilian nodded the rebound in at the near post to send Spurs into dreamland.

City bucked up their ideas immediately in the second half and managed to wipe out Tottenham’s lead with two goals in the space of three minutes.

Mahrez was the man of the match. His cross created havoc and Álvarez rifled home the loose ball. Rodri and Mahrez then linked up and Haaland climbed high home, levelling at 2-2.

At 2-2, Perisic had a huge chance to regain the lead to Spurs but his effort from close range was blocked brilliantly on the line.

The Man City comeback was completed by Mahrez, his right-footed strike took the faintest of deflections but Lloris should have saved.

Mahrez then got a 4th goal after Lenglet’s horrible touch let him through on goal.

 

Betting Analysis

Looking at the 1×2 market first. Tottenham traded around 2.00 at half time, but I wasn’t alone in expecting the tide to turn in the second half. Spurs quickly folded and Manchester City eventually won for their backers @ 1.37. Naturally they were the favourites, but the price drifted out as high as 6.25 when down by 0-2.

Moving onto the Asian handicap market for this contest. Manchester City powered back in the second half and thanks to a late Mahrez goal, they managed to cover the -1.5 handicap @ 1.97.  Spurs +1.5 backers may have felt confident of a full win at the break, even pessimistic fans may have expected a 3-2 loss worse case scenario. In truth however, we never merited being 0-2 ahead and one cannot argue with the result being fair and this handicap spot on.

Looking at The Under/Over market last of all. As outlined in the preview, the Overs looked extremely attractive particularly as it dropped from 3.25 to 3 the day before the match. Over 3 was a winner @ 1.84. Manchester City was always going to score at least 3 goals against this Spurs defence.